Green Finance Facility (GFF)
Bhutan Bundled Rooftop Solar Program
December 10, 2025 | Thimphu, Bhutan | UNDP-BHU-MAF
Workshop Agenda
OVERVIEW1. Capital Stack 4.0
50/30/20 Structure – Bank, GFF, RESP
2. UNCDF FLG Administration
First-Loss Guarantee ownership and activation
3. BTF Mezzanine Structure
Preferred equity, not lending
4. Cash Flow Waterfall
Payment priority and distribution
5. BDB Escrow Mechanism
Payment security architecture
6. 25-Year Financial Model
Returns, DSCR, sustainability
7. Discussion
Bank confirmation on cash-flow lending
Capital Stack 4.0: 50/30/20
STRUCTURE| Layer | Share | Amount | Rate | Institution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senior Debt | 50% | EUR 18.3M | 8.5% | BDB + Bank Club |
| GFF Mezzanine | 30% | EUR 11.0M | 2.5% pref | BTF |
| RESP Equity | 20% | EUR 7.3M | 13-16% IRR | RESP |
| Total | 100% | EUR 36.7M | ~78 MW | |
SPC Flexibility
Portfolio average 50/30/20
- High-CF sites: Banks up to 70%
- Low-CF sites: GFF up to 40%
- Optimizes GFF deployment
FLG (Outside Stack)
EUR 1.5M First-Loss Guarantee
- Owned & administered by UNCDF
- RMA acts as custodian only
Capital Stack Visualization
VISUALKey Metrics
- Total: EUR 36.7M
- Capacity: ~78 MW
- Leverage: 2.9x MAF
- Commercial: 2.3x GFF
Within-Stack Leverage
50% debt, 50% equity
Balanced structure ensures bankability while maintaining equity cushion
UNCDF FLG Administration
CRITICAL- FLG is OWNED and ADMINISTERED by UNCDF
- RMA acts as CUSTODIAN/AGENT only
- EUR 1.5M ring-fenced, segregated account
- UNCDF makes all activation decisions
- Unused FLG returns to UNCDF at programme closure
UNCDF Role
- Legal owner of FLG funds
- Makes all activation decisions
- Sets investment guidelines
- Receives unused funds at closure
RMA Role (Custodian)
- Maintains segregated account
- Executes UNCDF instructions
- Quarterly reporting to UNCDF
- 0.10-0.15% admin fee
Loss Absorption Hierarchy
RISKFLG Activation
FLG ONLY activates if:
- Senior lender declares default (>90 days past due)
- RESP equity exhausted
- GFF/BTF equity exhausted
- Senior debt at risk
Probability: <5% based on stress scenarios
BTF Mezzanine Equity Structure
BTF- BTF is a TRUST FUND, not a bank - cannot lend
- Invests EUR 11.0M as subordinated preferred EQUITY
- 2.5% annual preferred distribution (EUR 275k/year)
- Covers BTF operational costs from Year 1
- Capital redeemed Years 4-12, recycled into new projects
Return Mechanism
- 2.5% preferred distribution
- EUR 275k/year (semi-annual)
- Payment: After debt, before RESP
- Terminology: "distribution" not "interest"
Capital Redemption
- Years 1-3: Lock-up period
- Years 4-12: ~EUR 1.22M/year redemption
- Year 12: Full redemption complete
- Redeemed capital → new projects
- Creates revolving fund (200+ MW)
Cash Flow Waterfall
PRIORITYWaterfall Logic
Priority order ensures:
- Banks get full debt service first → Commercial bankability
- DSRA buffer for volatility → 6 months coverage min
- GFF receives 2.5% preferred → Covers BTF costs
- GFF capital recycled → Enables revolving fund
- RESP gets remaining cash → Target 13-16% IRR
Escrow Mechanism
SECURITY- A Bhutanese Bank as Escrow Agent
- BPC pays to segregated escrow account (not SPV directly)
- Escrow Agent executes monthly waterfall distribution
- Uses standard NEFT/BIRT for fund transfers
- Monthly reporting to all stakeholders
Monthly Payment Cycle
| Day 1-5: | BPC receives meter data |
| Day 6-15: | BPC verifies & pays to escrow |
| Day 16-25: | Escrow distributes per waterfall |
| Day 26-30: | Reporting to all parties |
Distribution Priority
→ Senior debt first
→ Then GFF preferred
→ Then RESP residual
FLG backstop if 90+ days default
25-Year Cash Flow Model
MODEL| Period | Debt Service | GFF Dist. | RESP Cash | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years 1-3 | EUR 1.5M/yr | EUR 0.28M | Minimal | GFF preferred only |
| Years 4-12 | EUR 1.5M/yr | EUR 1.5M | Growing | GFF + redemption |
| Year 12 | Final payment | Final redemption | Full | Debt cleared |
| Years 13-25 | 0 | 0 | Maximum | Equity phase |
Model Assumptions (78 MW)
- Total CAPEX: EUR 36.7M
- Annual Revenue: ~EUR 5.4M (Year 1)
- Annual OPEX: ~EUR 0.55M (1.5%)
- Tariff: BTN 4.5-5.0/kWh (ERA 2025)
RESP IRR
- Years 1-12: Constrained by debt
- Years 13-25: Maximum returns
- Full 25-year IRR: 13-16%
- Depends on site portfolio CF
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
ANALYSISCoverage Metrics
- Min DSCR: 1.45x
- Avg DSCR: 1.58x
- Covenant: 1.20x
Headroom 25%+ Above Covenant
Distribution lock-up below 1.2x
DSCR Analysis Notes
- DSCR = EBITDA / Debt Service (principal + interest)
- 50% gearing provides strong coverage buffer
- GFF subordination ensures senior debt always covered first
- RESP distributions blocked if DSCR <1.2x (covenant protection)
Covenant & Protection Structure
COVENANTSFinancial Covenants
- Minimum DSCR: 1.2x (lock-up below)
- Reserve Coverage: 6 months debt service
- RESP Distribution: Blocked if DSCR <1.2
- Equity Commitment: 20% RESP upfront
Performance Covenants
- Performance Ratio: >85% of design
- Availability Target: >95%
- O&M Compliance: Per framework agreement
- ESG Reporting: Quarterly
Lender Protections & Step-in Rights
Senior Lender Rights:
- Step-in rights over EPC/O&M contracts upon material underperformance
- Security package includes project assets, insurance proceeds, escrow accounts
- Cure periods: 90 days payment default, 30 days covenant breach
FLG Activation: Only after 90+ days senior default AND RESP/GFF equity exhausted
Risk Mitigation Architecture
RISK| Protection | Coverage | Risk Mitigated |
|---|---|---|
| GFF Mezzanine | EUR 11.0M (30%) | Subordinated; absorbs before debt |
| RESP Equity | EUR 7.3M (20%) | First-loss from project view |
| FLG Backstop | EUR 1.5M | Senior default protection |
| DSRA Reserve | 6 months | Payment timing volatility |
| Diversification | 5-12 SPCs | Single-project concentration |
SPC-Level Flexibility
- High-CF Sites (15%+): Banks up to 70%; GFF as low as 20%
- Low-CF Sites (13-14%): GFF up to 40% to ensure bankability
- Blended Portfolio: Weighted average maintains 50/30/20 across all SPCs
Institutional Roles Summary
ROLESUNCDF
FLG owner & administrator; programme oversight
RMA
FLG custodian; financial regulator
BTF
EUR 11M mezzanine equity; GFF coordination
Banks
EUR 18.3M senior debt; BDB as escrow agent
RESP
EUR 7.3M equity; developer/operator
Cash-Flow Based Lending
DISCUSSIONKEY QUESTION FOR BANKS
Can banks provide senior debt based purely on project cash flows, WITHOUT personal guarantees from RESP shareholders?
Risk Cushion Framework in Place
- FLG: EUR 1.5M backstop (UNCDF administered)
- DSRA: 6 months debt service reserve
- GFF Subordination: 30% subordinate to bank debt
- Escrow Mechanism: Direct payment security via BDB
- DSCR Covenant: Minimum 1.2x coverage maintained
Senior Debt Terms
- Amount: EUR 18.3M (50%)
- Tenor: 12 years
- Rate: 8.5% indicative
Confirmation Needed
- Cash-flow lending acceptable?
- Additional protections needed?
- Rate premium (if any)?
GFF Capital Recycling
GROWTH- GFF capital redeemed Years 4-12 (~EUR 1.22M/year)
- Redeemed capital recycled into new projects
- Creates permanent revolving fund mechanism
- EUR 11M initial → 200+ MW over 30 years
- Self-sustaining beyond MAF grant period
30-Year Projection
Cycle 1 (Yr 1-12)
EUR 11M → ~78 MW
Returns: EUR 14.3M
Cycle 2 (Yr 13-24)
EUR 14.3M → ~95 MW
Returns: EUR 18.6M
Cycle 3 (Yr 25-36)
EUR 18.6M → ~120 MW
Total: 200+ MW
Leverage: 18x over 30 years
Discussion Points
ACTION- Bank confirmation on cash-flow based lending terms
- Finalize UNCDF-RMA Guaranty Account Agreement for FLG
- BTF-SPV Subscription Agreement for mezzanine equity
- Bank as Escrow Agency Agreement
- Financial close target: Q2 2026
WORKSHOP DELIVERABLE
Bank letter of intent / term sheet confirmation on senior debt participation with agreed terms
Bankable Structure, Secure Cash Flows
GFF Stack 4.0 | 50/30/20 | UNDP-BHU-MAF | December 2025